Christmas Climatology: White Christmas Not Likely

If you don’t like cold and snow you’ll like the Christmas forecast this year.

A white Christmas in Central Kansas is rare, This year, there is virtually no chance of a white Christmas.

For official records a white Christmas is defined: 1 inch or more of snow on the ground. It can either fall on Christmas day, or have been on the ground from a previous storm.

According to the National Weather Service, with the exception of a slight chance of light rain in southeast Kansas Christmas Eve night, most of the area will stay dry.

A better chance for more widespread moisture will move into the area by Christmas evening and overnight Christmas into Wednesday and Thursday.

A mid-week storm system will bring widespread rain to much of the area Christmas night through Thursday night. Portions of central Kansas could see a wintry mix or snow at times. There is still a lot of uncertainty regarding the specific impacts of this system, so stay tuned for updates.

 

 

The map shows the historic probability of there being at least 1-inch of snow on the ground in the Lower 48 states on December 25 based on the latest (1981-2010) U.S. Climate Normals from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center. Dark gray shows places where the probability is less than 10 percent, while white shows probabilities greater than 90 percent.